The Cannibalization Of The Financial System Will Force Investors Into Silver
Steve St Angelo
Day in and day out, the global financial system
continues to cannibalize itself. Clear evidence of this points to the
massive “Artificial” liquidity and asset purchase policy instituted by
the Federal Reserve. While financial analysts provided several theories
why the Fed was forced to inject liquidity via the Repo Market and also
purchase $60 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries, the real reason has to
do with the falling quality of oil and its impact on the value of
assets and collateral.
It’s really that simple. However, there is no
mention of it (energy) by any of the leading financial or precious
metals analysts. For example, in Alasdair Macleod’s recent
Goldmoney.com article titled, How To Return To Sound Money, he states the following:
This article provides a template for an enduring sound money solution that will deliver economic progress while eliminating destructive credit cycles. It posits that a properly constructed gold and gold substitute monetary system, which also includes the removal of bank credit inflation as a means of providing investment capital, is the only way that lasting stability and prosperity can be achieved.
Alasdair Macleod, who I have a great deal of respect,
doesn’t mention “Energy” once in his entire article suggesting that
returning to sound money, through gold, is the only way for lasting
stability and prosperity can be achieved. The majority of economic prosperity has come from the burning of oil, natural gas, and coal, not from gold or silver. The
precious metals act as money, a store of value, or economic energy, but
are not the ENERGY SOURCES themselves. While this is self-evident, it
is very important to understand.
The overwhelming majority of analysts do not
understand that ENERGY is the driver of the global economy, not
finance. Here is a perfect example.
If you want to drive your brand new car to a
restaurant, what is NECESSARY to have in that car? Correct… you need
the fuel. That $35,000 car is worthless without the fuel. If you had
no fuel and I walked up to your house and gave you a ticket for 20
gallons of gasoline, would that get you to the restaurant?? NO… it
would not. A Ticket representing gasoline is not the gasoline. This is what people do not understand today.
The money in the bank is not the FUEL; it’s the
ticket for the FUEL. Without the burning of billions of barrels of oil
and natural gas equivalents, along with coal, the MONETARY SYSTEM would
not work. The energy comes first, the money second. It’s always been
that way.
Unfortunately, the amount and value of TICKETS in the
system have continued to increase exponentially while the quality of
the energy is declining. It’s not the quantity of energy that is
important, but rather the QUALITY of energy. Because the quality (and
soon the quantity) of energy is declining, the tremendous amount of
outstanding TICKETS in the world will lose their value.
Which brings us to gold and silver… Fiat
Money (Federal Reserve Note) is a mere TICKET for energy in the world,
while gold and silver represent a BANK of stored economic energy. There
is no stored energy in gold or silver, but they act as a BANK of energy
equivalents.
Energy Equivalents Of Fiat Money vs. Precious Metals (based on $ 2.75-gallon gas)
$20 Federal Reserve Note: Intrinsic Paper value of note worth 13 cents (at most) = 1/20th of a gallon gas1 oz Silver Coin: Worth approximately $18 = 6.5 gallons gasoline1 oz Gold Coin: Worth approximately $1,550 = 564 gallons of gasoline
The energy equivalent values for the precious metals
are considerably higher than the Federal Reserve Note… no shocker there,
but this is only part of the equation. I am not going to get into the
details in this article, but will be doing so in a new Youtube video
update. If you have not yet subscribed to my SRSrocco Report Youtube Channel, please consider doing so at the link: SRSrocco Report Youtube Channel.
Getting back to the failure of financial and precious
metals analysts to include ENERGY in their analysis, here is another
article focusing on the “symptom” rather than the underlying factor, The Fed Won’t Avert The Next “Crisis”… They Will Cause It:
“Yes, we did indeed need the Federal Reserve to provide liquidity during the initial crisis. But after that, the Fed kept rates too low for too long, reinforcing the wealth and income disparities and creating new bubbles we will have to deal with in the not-too-distant future.This wasn’t a ‘beautiful deleveraging’ as you call it. It was the ugly creation of bubbles and misallocation of capital. The Fed shouldn’t have blown these bubbles in the first place.”
The quote in that article was from John Mauldin.
Mauldin is the typical financial analyst that seems to believe in the
ENERGY TOOTH FAIRY. According to Mauldin and 99% of financial
analysts, the majority of our problems stem from Central bank
intervention, debt, corruption, or some form of socialism. Again,
nowhere in the article linked above is the mention of ENERGY…. ZIP…
NADDA… ZILCH.
I could go on and on.
One aspect not considered by the Mainstream or
Alt-Media analysts is that the Fed and Central Banks are likely
postponing the collapse of our global economy for as long as possible.
No one seems to GET THIS. Sure, there are a few like Gail Tverberg.
She gets it. But, most just point out the mere symptoms without looking
at the underlying factor.
I changed my negative opinion of bankers over the past few years, especially after I watched the movie, MARGIN CALL. The
movie Margin Call takes place during the 2007-2008 Mortgage-Backed
Security Financial Crisis. Here is a scene from the movie that points
out the obvious from this investment banker that most analysts and
investors seem to ignore. The important part starts at 50 seconds in
the video clip. While everyone wants to blame the bankers for all our
economic ills, they also provide a standard of living that wouldn’t be
possible if the global playing field was equal. CAUTION: some foul language in the video clip:
I gather readers will have a different opinion of
bankers than I. Still, if it wasn’t for the debt and the leverage that
the bankers provide, our economic system would have collapsed a decade
ago… with no recovery. So, if there was an option available, I can
assure you that most Americans would select the present fiat banking
system over a global sound money equalized playing field. Without
bankers, most Americans could not afford their standard of living which
they get off the backs of most of the poor in the world… LIKE IT OR NOT.
That being said, by looking at the symptoms taking
place in the financial system, we can see just how bad the situation is
becoming. The chart below shows the amount of asset purchases the
Federal Reserve has added to its balance sheet over the past four months
versus the total value of all global above-ground silver stocks:
I decided to compare the Fed’s balance sheet to
silver rather than gold because I believe silver will be the GO TO ASSET
once investors get PRECIOUS METALS RELIGION. Silver’s future price action or value will make Palladium’s current bubble look tame indeed. Unfortunately,
Palladium’s value will crash once the global economy heads into a
depression. Even though Palladium and Platinum are precious metals, the
overwhelming majority of investment demand is in silver and gold.
Palladium and Platinum’s value is based more on industrial demand rather
than investment demand. KISS – Keep It Simple Stupid. Acquire the
2,000+ year history of money… gold and silver.
In the last four months, the Federal Reserve added
$414 billion to its balance sheet. What a change compared to the $708
billion in assets the Fed sold back to the market (primary dealers) over
a two-year period.
The Fed was selling an average of $118
billion of its assets every four months over the 2-year period.
However, it purchased more than three times that rate of $414 billion in
the past 4-month period.
Now, think about this. The Fed announced on October
15th that it would start purchasing $60 billion a month of U.S.
Treasuries. The Fed has purchased at most, $240 billion in U.S.
Treasuries in the 4-month period. But, the total increase in the Fed’s
balance sheet is $414 billion, or $174 billion higher. So, it also has
been slowly adding assets (liabilities) via its Repo Market operations.
I call them liabilities because there is no real market for them. And, as time goes by, the world is going to watch as the majority of so-called ASSETS turn into LIABILITIES.
As I mentioned in previous articles, I believe the
“FINANCIAL CRISIS” started on September 15th, when the Fed had to step
in with emergency Repo Market Operations and has continued to do so.
While the markets believe the Fed has fixed the problem, it’s only going
to get worse. Why? Because the Thermodynamics of oil depletion
doesn’t stop and the quality of oil (or net energy) that makes it to the
market continues to decline.
Thus, The Federal Reserve increased the value of its
balance sheet over the past 4-month period by nearly 10 times the value
of all the global above-ground silver stocks:
Based on a global value of available silver
stocks (2.5 billion oz X $18 = $45 billion), the Fed’s balance sheet
purchases of $414 billion are 9.2 times all the investment silver held
in the world.
Investors do not understand this CRITICAL comparison… YET. But, they will in time.
While the Austrian School of Economics Aficionados
believe that returning the world to sound money with gold will put us
back on a path of future prosperity, they couldn’t be more wrong. Gold
Money will not alter the ongoing Thermodynamics of oil depletion and
its impact on the massive JUST-IN-TIME-INVENTORY SUPPLY CHAIN SYSTEM.
Gold can’t fix our dire future energy predicament.
However, gold and silver will offer BETTER OPTIONS in
the future than most of the present-day competing assets, such as
STOCKS, BONDS, and REAL ESTATE.
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